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The Cadre Harmonisé (CH) Report for October forecasts that at least 33.1 million people across 26 states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) will experience a food and nutrition crisis between June and August 2025.

This projection stems from the CH Analysis Report, released on Friday in Abuja. The report’s analysis was conducted by the UN Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO), the World Food Programme, Nigeria’s Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security, and other partners.

The affected states include Sokoto, Zamfara, Borno, Adamawa, Yobe, Gombe, Taraba, Katsina, Jigawa, Kano, Bauchi, Plateau, Kaduna, Kebbi, Niger, and Benue. Additional states affected are Cross River, Enugu, Edo, Abia, Kogi, Nasarawa, Kwara, Ogun, Lagos, Rivers, and the FCT.

The report also indicates that this figure includes 514,474 Internally Displaced Persons in Borno, Sokoto, and Zamfara, with approximately 25 million people already experiencing food crises across these regions.

FAO Country Representative to Nigeria and ECOWAS, Kouacou Koffy, emphasized the urgent need for a unified response to food and nutrition security challenges, stating: “With the concerted efforts of the government, CH stakeholders, and the international community, we can move closer to alleviating hunger and reducing suffering for Nigeria’s most vulnerable populations. We are facing unprecedented challenges affecting livelihoods and food and nutrition security globally, regionally, and nationally.”

Koffy attributed the crisis to multiple shocks, including economic issues impacting staple crop and agricultural commodity prices, climate events such as floods and droughts, and ongoing insecurity.

The CH workshops aim to analyze food security data, identify high-risk populations and regions, and suggest preventive measures. Koffy noted that CH analysis remains the most reliable early-warning tool for humanitarian programming, food security, and development program prioritization.

Federal Ministry of Agriculture and Food Security’s Permanent Secretary, Temitope Fashedemi, affirmed the government’s commitment to utilizing the report’s findings to guide food and nutrition security initiatives nationwide.

CH Focal Person for the National Programme on Food Security, Balama Dauda, highlighted key drivers of the crisis: high prices of essential goods, flooding, and security challenges.

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